TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC
Volume:
$855,415
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Valencia CF and Girona FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory: all three possible outcomes (Girona win, Valencia win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed payout regardless of result. Polymarket uses standard mutually-exclusive binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical error where every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution, making it impossible to lose. This violates basic prediction market design. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Valencia win, Draw, Girona win) are the only coherent pricing mechanism for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate mutually-exclusive binary markets: (1) Valencia CF wins resolves YES only if Valencia wins in 90+stoppage minutes, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Girona FC wins resolves YES only if Girona wins in 90+stoppage minutes, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome. Resolution source: official La Liga statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all triggering YES: 'If Girona wins...resolves to Yes. If Valencia wins...resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES regardless of match outcome, violating fundamental prediction market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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