This event group covers the women's college basketball game between UTEP Miners and New Mexico State Aggies scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UTEP win and New Mexico State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the second outcome should resolve to No, or if this is a template error. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary win-or-lose structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. UTEP win resolves to UTEP Miners; New Mexico State win resolves to New Mexico State Aggies. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolvable and internally consistent.
Kalshi: Defective binary structure mapping both possible outcomes to Yes. States both If UTEP wins then Yes AND If New Mexico St. wins then Yes, creating logical impossibility. No handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios. Unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.