TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah vs. Kraken
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on whether either team wins (a logical impossibility that makes the market unresolvable), while Polymarket resolves on standard NHL game outcomes: moneyline winner, over/under total goals, and point spread.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market for this group — it contains a logical contradiction. The Kalshi market states 'If SEA Kraken wins... then YES' AND 'If UTA Mammoth wins... then YES', meaning every possible outcome resolves YES, making settlement impossible. Trade only on Polymarket's clearly defined moneyline, totals, and spread markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction that renders it unresolvable. Both possible outcomes (Kraken win OR Mammoth/Utah win) are stated to resolve to YES: 'If SEA Kraken wins the Utah at Seattle professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UTA Mammoth wins the Utah at Seattle professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where every realistic scenario resolves YES, violating basic market logic.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NHL settlement: Polymarket offers five distinct, logically consistent markets: (1) moneyline winner (Utah vs. Kraken), (2) over/under 7.5 total goals, (3) over/under 4.5 total goals, (4) over/under 6.5 total goals, (5) over/under 5.5 total goals, and (6) Utah -1.5 spread. Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes (e.g., 'Over' if combined score >= 8, 'Under' if < 8) with clear resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout adjustments. All markets reference the same game on April 2 at 10:00 PM ET and use NHL.com as the official source.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.