TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah vs. Canucks
Volume:
$561,689
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Utah Hockey Club plays the Vancouver Canucks in an NHL game scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner, (2) combined goals over/under at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) margin of victory. All markets include shootout adjustments (+1 goal to winner) and 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled with no makeup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal wins for either team), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored (Over/Under various totals), moneyline outcome, and spread markets. The platforms measure fundamentally different aspects of the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on whether either team wins by a large margin (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals). If you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on total combined goals, which team wins, or the specific spread. These outcomes are independent — a high-scoring game where one team wins by only 1 goal resolves YES on Polymarket totals but NO on all Kalshi markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves YES if either Utah wins by over 2.5 goals, Utah wins by over 1.5 goals, Vancouver wins by over 2.5 goals, or Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals. All four conditions trigger YES resolution. Key quote: 'If Utah wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets: moneyline (Utah vs. Canucks winner), four Over/Under total-goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5), and two spread markets (Utah -1.5, Utah -2.5, Canucks -1.5). Each resolves independently based on combined goals or margin of victory. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Utah and Canucks combine to score 7 or more goals' and 'This market will resolve to Utah if the Utah win the game by 2 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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