TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Volume:
$4,343,243
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Utah Utes and Cincinnati Bearcats scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread, and total points over/under at multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Utah win and Cincinnati win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline as written—it cannot be settled fairly. Use Polymarket's moneyline (Utah Utes vs Cincinnati Bearcats) as your primary reference. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to support immediately. For Polymarket Over-Under markets, carefully track which threshold (140.5, 141.5, or 142.5) applies to your specific contract, as final scores of 141 or 142 create resolution splits.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If Utah wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cincinnati wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. No coherent settlement is possible.
- Polymarket: Moneyline: Resolves to 'Utah Utes' if Utah wins, 'Cincinnati Bearcats' if Cincinnati wins (mutually exclusive, coherent). Over-Under markets use three distinct thresholds: 142.5 (143+ = Over), 141.5 (142+ = Over), 140.5 (141+ = Over). All include 50-50 cancellation clause and overtime inclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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