TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats
Volume:
$3,243,971
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Utah State Aggies and Villanova Wildcats on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on which team reaches 10 points first (a micro-event within the game), while Polymarket resolves on the final game outcome (moneyline, spread, and totals). These markets cannot coexist logically: a team reaching 10 points first does not determine the final winner, spread cover, or total points.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. Kalshi's 'first to 10' outcome is independent of Polymarket's final-score outcomes. A YES resolution on Kalshi (either team reaches 10 first) guarantees nothing about Polymarket moneyline, spread, or total. Treat these as separate, unrelated events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves on a micro-event (which team reaches 10 points first) rather than the final game outcome. Both markets (Utah St. first to 10 and Villanova first to 10) resolve YES if their respective team reaches 10 first, creating a logical impossibility where both cannot occur simultaneously, yet neither determines the final winner. Key quote: 'If Utah St. is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Villanova is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves on final game outcomes (moneyline winner, spread cover, and combined total points). All markets reference the final score including overtime and use NCAA.com as the official source. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods' and 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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