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Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
kalshi
polymarket

Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Volume:
$2,084,886

UNLV

 - Kalshi

UNLV - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UNLV

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$842,509
N/A
N/A
$474,795
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 156.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 155.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Utah St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,131,786
N/A
N/A
$718,155
Settled
No
polymarket

Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Utah State Aggies and UNLV Runnin' Rebels scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-7.5 and -8.5), and over/under totals (155.5 and 156.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on core resolution: final score determines outcome, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation triggers 50-50 split, and overtime is included in final score.Primary resolution logic: NCAA official final score (https://www.ncaa.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline: Market resolves to the team with the higher final score
  • Spread -7.5: Utah State wins if margin is 8+ points; otherwise UNLV wins
  • Spread -8.5: Utah State wins if margin is 9+ points; otherwise UNLV wins
  • Over/Under 155.5: Over if combined score is 156+; Under if 155 or less
  • Over/Under 156.5: Over if combined score is 157+; Under if 156 or less
  • Overtime periods are included in final score calculation
  • If game is postponed, all markets remain open until game completion
  • If game is canceled with no makeup, all markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is actually played and completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes/No or both outcomes).
  • Overtime: All overtime periods are included in the final score; markets do not resolve at end of regulation.
  • Spread Boundary: For -7.5 spread: exactly 8-point margin resolves to Utah State. For -8.5 spread: exactly 9-point margin resolves to Utah State. Margins less than these thresholds resolve to UNLV.
  • Total Boundary: For 155.5 total: exactly 156 combined points resolves to Over. For 156.5 total: exactly 157 combined points resolves to Over.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the final score is official on NCAA.com following game completion on March 3, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.