A men's college basketball game between Utah State Aggies and Nevada Wolf Pack scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5 points favoring Utah State), and three over/under total points markets (146.5, 147.5, 148.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Nevada win and Utah State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically coherent with clear binary outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It has a data integrity failure that makes it impossible to determine a winner. Focus exclusively on Polymarket's coherent binary, spread, and total markets. Contact Kalshi support to report the logical error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market claims both Nevada win and Utah State win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No clear resolution path exists for either outcome.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Utah State Aggies if they win, Nevada Wolf Pack if they win. Spread markets (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/under markets (146.5, 147.5, 148.5) resolve based on combined points. All include postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50) protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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