TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Tarleton State Texans
Volume:
$220,987
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between UT Arlington Mavericks and Tarleton State Texans scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 136.5, and point spreads at -2.5 and -1.5 for Tarleton State.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Tarleton St. win and UT Arlington win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all other Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline. It cannot be settled. Trade Polymarket markets only: moneyline resolves to winner name, O/U 136.5 resolves Over/Under at 137 combined points, and spreads resolve based on margin of victory. All use final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Tarleton St. win and UT Arlington win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that prevents settlement. Quote: 'If Tarleton St. wins the UT Arlington at Tarleton St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UT Arlington wins the UT Arlington at Tarleton St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (UT Arlington Mavericks or Tarleton State Texans). O/U 136.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 137, Under if < 137. Spreads resolve based on margin: Tarleton -2.5 wins if margin >= 3, Tarleton -1.5 wins if margin >= 2. All use final score including overtime and 50-50 on full cancellation. Quote: 'If the UT Arlington Mavericks win, the market will resolve to UT Arlington Mavericks. If the Tarleton State Texans win, the market will resolve to Tarleton State Texans.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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