TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Winthrop Eagles
Volume:
$1,226,934
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between USC Upstate Spartans and Winthrop Eagles scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-13.5 Winthrop), and multiple over/under totals (154.5, 155.5, 156.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (USC Upstate win or Winthrop win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to a No resolution under normal completion. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is obtained. The market structure violates basic binary logic. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically consistent and use NCAA.com as the authoritative source. Recommend settling all positions via Polymarket markets if forced to choose.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (USC Upstate Spartans or Winthrop Eagles). Spread resolves to Winthrop Eagles if they win by 14+ points, otherwise USC Upstate Spartans. Totals (154.5, 155.5, 156.5) resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, else Under. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com. Final score includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states: If USC Upstate wins, resolves Yes. If Winthrop wins, resolves Yes. No condition for No resolution is provided. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution state, violating binary market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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