TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies
Volume:
$3,852,543
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies men's college basketball game scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-6.5 and -5.5), and total points (O/U 150.5) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: it states both USC and Washington wins resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, multi-outcome markets with clear thresholds and cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's moneyline as unreliable. Rely exclusively on Polymarket for settlement: moneyline resolves to the winning team name, spreads use distinct thresholds (-6.5 vs -5.5), and totals resolve Over at 151+ combined points. Verify final score including overtime from NCAA.com.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline logic is contradictory. Market states: 'If USC wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Washington wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates an impossible binary outcome. No spread or total markets provided.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (USC Trojans or Washington Huskies). Two spread markets with different thresholds: -6.5 (Washington wins by 7+) and -5.5 (Washington wins by 6+). Total O/U 150.5 resolves Over at 151+ combined points. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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