TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (W)
Volume:
$20,327
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between USC Trojans and Penn State Nittany Lions scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (USC win and Penn State win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's binary structure is logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the second resolution condition. The market as stated violates basic boolean logic. Polymarket is the only resolvable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. USC win resolves to 'USC Trojans', Penn State win resolves to 'Penn State Nittany Lions'. Postponement keeps market open. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Both outcomes stated to resolve to Yes: 'If USC wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Penn St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where two mutually exclusive events cannot both be true, rendering the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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