Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Sassuolo win, Como win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction that violates fundamental market design principles. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (one outcome per market), while Kalshi's structure makes all markets resolve YES regardless of match result.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets in this group. The resolution logic is internally contradictory—all three outcome markets cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Stick to Polymarket for this event, where binary resolution is clear and mutually exclusive.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Sassuolo Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Como Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on match outcome. Resolution source is official Serie A statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to YES, others to NO.
Kalshi: Three markets stated as: 'If Como wins... resolves YES', 'If Sassuolo wins... resolves YES', 'If Tie wins... resolves YES'. This structure implies all three markets resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, which is logically impossible. No cancellation clause or resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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