TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC
Volume:
$1,048,119
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between US Sassuolo Calcio and Atalanta BC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Sassuolo win, draw, Atalanta win), while Kalshi offers four markets based on goal-margin thresholds (Atalanta >1.5, Atalanta >2.5, Sassuolo >1.5, Sassuolo >2.5 goals). All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers mutually exclusive binary outcomes with an internal cancellation inconsistency (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No), while Kalshi offers independent goal-margin thresholds that do not partition the outcome space. Market structures are fundamentally different.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's three markets are exhaustive and mutually exclusive; exactly one will resolve Yes under normal play. Kalshi's four markets are independent; multiple can resolve Yes simultaneously (e.g., a 3-0 Atalanta win triggers both >1.5 and >2.5). On game cancellation, Polymarket creates a logical inconsistency: the draw market resolves Yes while win markets resolve No. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation rule before trading, as it is not explicitly stated.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets (Sassuolo win, draw, Atalanta win) covering all possible outcomes. Cancellation handling is inconsistent: draw market resolves Yes, while win markets resolve No. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' while win markets state 'this market will resolve "No"'.
- Kalshi: Four independent goal-margin markets (Atalanta >1.5, Atalanta >2.5, Sassuolo >1.5, Sassuolo >2.5) that do not partition outcomes and can overlap. A 3-0 Atalanta win resolves both >1.5 and >2.5 to Yes. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Atalanta wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' (independent condition, not mutually exclusive).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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