TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC
Volume:
$419,303
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between US Cremonese and Genoa CFC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span three outcome categories: draw/win predictions (Polymarket) and margin-of-victory thresholds (Kalshi), all resolving based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market scope divergence: Polymarket offers binary outcome markets (draw vs. win), while Kalshi offers margin-of-victory threshold markets. Both reference the same underlying event but measure different dimensions of the result.Hero Tip:
These markets are complementary, not contradictory. Understand that a single match result will resolve multiple Kalshi markets simultaneously (e.g., a 3-0 Genoa win triggers both Genoa >1.5 and Genoa >2.5). Confirm Kalshi's postponement and cancellation rules match Polymarket's before trading, as Kalshi documentation provided does not explicitly address these scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: draw (resolves Yes if match ends level), Cremonese win (Yes if Cremonese wins), Genoa win (Yes if Genoa wins). Cancellation with no makeup: draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
- Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets: Genoa >1.5 goals, Genoa >2.5 goals, Cremonese >1.5 goals, Cremonese >2.5 goals. Each resolves Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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