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404,028

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30,214

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2,681

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5

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VS.

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US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909
polymarket
kalshi

US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909

Volume:
$766,068

Bologna FC 1909

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bologna FC 1909

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$411,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bologna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$217,353
N/A
N/A
$185,415
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Cremonese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cremonese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,804
N/A
N/A
$31,984
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,869
N/A
N/A
$11,218
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

US Cremonese and Bologna FC 1909 will compete in a Serie A match scheduled for April 5, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Cremonese win, Bologna win, or draw).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Cremonese win, draw, Bologna win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, buying all three outcomes is impossible (only one wins). On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES regardless of result, making them non-discriminatory bets on match completion rather than outcome prediction. Clarify with each platform whether Kalshi's structure is intentional before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Cremonese win, draw, or Bologna win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. The resolution source is official Serie A statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Quote: 'If US Cremonese wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied identically to all three outcome markets).
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent markets, each resolving YES if its named outcome occurs, but the logical structure implies all three resolve YES for any match result (win for either team or tie), making outcome discrimination impossible. Quote: 'If Bologna wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cremonese wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.