TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
US Avellino 1912 vs. Calcio Padova
Volume:
$118,506
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between US Avellino 1912 and Calcio Padova scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (Avellino win, draw, or Padova win) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction with its win markets regarding cancellation resolution. Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Lega Serie B announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while win markets resolve NO—creating a guaranteed arbitrage opportunity. Kalshi's silence on cancellation suggests markets may remain open indefinitely pending rescheduling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Avellino win, Draw, Padova win). Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up; win markets resolve NO. Primary source: Lega Serie B official statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Avellino win, Tie, Padova win) that resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or fallback source guidance provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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