TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Uruguay vs. Spain
Total volume:
$484
Volume 24h:
$62
1,908%
Liquidity:
$12,336
0.72%
Open interest:
$207
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 26, 2026 between Uruguay and Spain.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to YES. Additionally, the match date differs between platforms (June 26 vs June 27), and cancellation/non-completion handling is inconsistent across Limitless versus Polymarket/Predict.Hero Tip:
This market group is currently unresolvable due to critical logical flaws. Do not place trades until: (1) Kalshi corrects its resolution logic to specify exactly one outcome per match result, (2) the official match date is confirmed and synchronized across all platforms, and (3) cancellation/postponement rules are harmonized. Escalate to PredictionHero compliance immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Logical Impossibility: All three outcomes (Uruguay win, Spain win, Draw) are stated to resolve to YES for the same match. This violates mutual exclusivity and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Match date: June 26, 2026.
- Limitless: Match scheduled for June 27, 2026 with resolution deadline July 27, 2026, 00:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed by deadline; Uruguay and Spain markets resolve NO if match does not occur. Key quote: 'if the match is not completed with an official result by July 27, 2026, 00:00 UTC, the market will resolve to YES' (Draw) or 'NO' (team wins).
- Polymarket: Match scheduled for June 26, 2026. Uruguay and Spain win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).
- Predict: Match scheduled for June 26, 2026. Uruguay and Spain win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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