TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Volume:
$538,035
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between UNLV Runnin' Rebels and Tulsa Golden Hurricane on March 22 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents logically contradictory and mutually exclusive resolution conditions that make the market fundamentally unresolvable, while Polymarket uses standard, internally consistent moneyline and spread betting logic. Kalshi's 11 conditions create overlapping YES outcomes for nearly every possible game result, violating basic market design principles.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely — the resolution logic is broken and will likely result in disputed settlement or exchange intervention. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses standard, clear resolution criteria (moneyline winner, spread thresholds, totals). If you hold Kalshi positions, contact support immediately to clarify which single condition will actually be used for settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi lists 11 separate YES conditions covering UNLV wins by >3.5, >6.5, >9.5, >12.5 points AND Tulsa wins by >3.5, >6.5, >9.5, >12.5, >15.5, >18.5, >21.5 points. These conditions overlap and are mutually exclusive (e.g., if UNLV wins by 7 points, conditions 1 and 8 both trigger; if Tulsa wins by 10 points, conditions 2, 4, 6 all trigger). The market structure violates the principle that exactly one outcome should resolve YES. Key quote: 'If UNLV wins by more than 6.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tulsa wins by more than 3.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' — both cannot be true simultaneously.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard betting logic: Polymarket offers five distinct, mutually exclusive markets: (1) moneyline (UNLV vs. Tulsa winner only), (2-6) spread markets at -3.5, -4.5, -5.5, -6.5, -7.5, -8.5, -9.5, -10.5, -11.5 (Tulsa wins by N+ points or UNLV covers), and (7-15) over/under totals at 139.5 through 161.5 (combined score threshold). Each market has exactly two mutually exclusive outcomes. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Tulsa Golden Hurricane if the Tulsa Golden Hurricane win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to UNLV Runnin' Rebels.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.