This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UNLV Runnin' Rebels and Colorado State Rams scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup.
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UNLV win and Colorado State win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-functional as a prediction instrument.
Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi contract entirely due to logical impossibility of resolution. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary winner-take-all logic. The Kalshi market cannot distinguish between the two teams and will fail to settle correctly regardless of game outcome.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. UNLV victory resolves to 'UNLV Runnin' Rebels', Colorado State victory resolves to 'Colorado State Rams'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure. Both 'If UNLV wins' and 'If Colorado St. wins' are mapped to 'resolves to Yes'. No distinction between outcomes. Creates an unresolvable market where the settlement cannot differentiate between the two teams.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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