TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
United States vs. Paraguay
Total volume:
$105,928
Volume 24h:
$2,235
35%
Liquidity:
$88,288
8%
Open interest:
$47,608
2%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FIFA World Cup match between the United States and Paraguay scheduled for June 12, 2026. Markets across four platforms (Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict) are betting on the final outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: USA win, Paraguay win, or draw. The core resolution hinges on the official match result as recognized by FIFA.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Date mismatch between platforms (June 12 vs June 13, 2026) and asymmetric cancellation logic across draw vs win markets. Limitless also imposes a hard resolution deadline of July 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC.Hero Tip:
Confirm the official FIFA World Cup fixture date immediately. Monitor for any schedule changes or postponements. If the match is canceled entirely, draw markets on Polymarket and Predict will resolve YES while win markets resolve NO—creating a logical inconsistency. Limitless markets will resolve based on whether an official result exists by July 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (USA win, tie, Paraguay win) resolve YES if they occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Match date: June 12, 2026.
- Limitless: USA and Paraguay markets resolve NO if match is not completed with official result by July 13, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed OR ends in a draw. Match date: June 13, 2026 (one day later than other platforms).
- Polymarket: USA and Paraguay win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves YES if canceled entirely with no make-up game. Markets remain open if postponed. Match date: June 12, 2026. Resolution source: FIFA official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours.
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: USA and Paraguay win resolve NO on cancellation; draw resolves YES on cancellation. Markets remain open if postponed. Match date: June 12, 2026. Resolution source: FIFA official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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