TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
United States vs. Belgium
Volume:
$2,143,326
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
United States vs. Belgium is a professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for March 28, 2026. The event will be resolved based on the final outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: a United States win, a Belgium win, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome (USA win, Belgium win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 28, 2026, using FIFA or official governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from FIFA or the event organizers (governing body); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if USA wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if Belgium wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Exactly one of the three outcomes (USA win, Belgium win, draw) will occur and resolve the corresponding market to YES; the other two resolve to NO.
- Resolution scope is limited to regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed and resolved based on the rescheduled match outcome.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's USA win and Belgium win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES. Kalshi's rules do not explicitly address cancellation but imply no resolution if the match does not occur.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by FIFA or the governing body within 2 hours of match conclusion, or by consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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