TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Most liquid price source available for Unit governance token at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; official Unit website (https://hyperunit.xyz/) for launch confirmationCore resolution logic:
- Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to qualify as a launch
- FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price from the most liquid price source
- Resolution timestamp is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
- Market resolves YES if FDV exceeds the specified threshold; NO if FDV is at or below threshold
- If Unit does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in this group resolve NO
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Launch Definition Ambiguity: If a token is launched but not immediately liquid or tradable, the launch date is determined by when the token becomes actively, publicly transferable and tradable on at least one exchange
- Multiple Price Sources: If multiple exchanges list Unit's token, the most liquid price source (typically highest volume exchange) is used to determine FDV at the 4:00 PM ET resolution timestamp
- Deadline Non-Launch: If Unit has not launched a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all eight markets ($200M, $400M, $600M, $800M, $1B, $1.5B, $2B, $3B) resolve to NO regardless of any other factors
- Token Supply Changes: FDV calculation uses the total token supply at the 4:00 PM ET resolution timestamp; any supply adjustments after launch are reflected in the calculation
- Timezone Edge Case: 4:00 PM ET is the fixed resolution time; during daylight saving transitions, this is interpreted as the official ET time as observed on that calendar day
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Unit's token launch, provided the token meets the active public transferability and tradeability criteria. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO.Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.