This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UNC Wilmington Seahawks and Northeastern Huskies scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Northeastern win and UNCW win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses a standard winner-take-all structure with no such contradiction.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. The market as written cannot settle properly. Polymarket's logic is sound: trade there with confidence. Verify Kalshi's actual terms with their support team before any settlement occurs.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Claims binary resolution but states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Northeastern wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If UNC Wilmington wins... resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible for a binary market.
Polymarket: Winner-take-all structure: UNCW win resolves to 'UNCW Seahawks', Northeastern win resolves to 'Northeastern Huskies'. Cancellation with no makeup game resolves 50-50. Clear and resolvable logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.