TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UNCG Spartans vs. Chattanooga Mocs (W)
Volume:
$1,102
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UNCG Spartans and Chattanooga Mocs scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (UNC Greensboro win and Chattanooga win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi market entirely until corrected. The contradiction makes it impossible to determine a fair settlement. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution logic aligned with NCAA official sources.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports resolution: UNCG Spartans win = resolves to UNCG Spartans; Chattanooga Mocs win = resolves to Chattanooga Mocs. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states both UNC Greensboro win AND Chattanooga win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible in a binary event and creates an unresolvable market state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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