TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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30,522

events

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders
kalshi
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders

Volume:
$470,443

UMBC

 - Kalshi

UMBC - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMBC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$285,438
N/A
N/A
$178,148
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 141.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 140.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NJIT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133,451
N/A
N/A
$95,356
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

A college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and NJIT Highlanders scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5), and total points over/under (140.5, 141.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both UMBC win and NJIT win outcomes are mapped to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's categorical and binary structures are internally consistent.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely due to logical impossibility. Use Polymarket for all markets: moneyline resolves to team name, spreads resolve based on margin thresholds, totals resolve based on combined score. All Polymarket markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If UMBC wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If NJIT wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves identically, making the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'UMBC Retrievers' or 'NJIT Highlanders' (mutually exclusive). Spreads resolve based on margin (e.g., -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Totals resolve based on combined score (e.g., 140.5 requires 141+). All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled entirely.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.