TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UMBC Retrievers vs. Bryant Bulldogs (W)
Volume:
$1,641,635
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and Bryant Bulldogs scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory. Both Bryant win and UMBC win resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market design is broken. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has clear binary logic: UMBC Retrievers vs. Bryant Bulldogs with proper 50-50 cancellation fallback.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome market. UMBC win resolves to 'UMBC Retrievers', Bryant win resolves to 'Bryant Bulldogs'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations with no makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution logic. Both 'If Bryant wins' and 'If UMBC wins' resolve to Yes. No condition maps to No. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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