TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ukraine vs. Albania
kalshi
polymarket

Ukraine vs. Albania

Volume:
$189,160

Ukraine

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 2:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,857
N/A
N/A
$30,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,263
N/A
N/A
$31,994
Settled
No
polymarket

Albania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Ukraine vs. Albania)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,626
N/A
N/A
$4,474
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the outcome of a professional international friendly soccer match between Ukraine and Albania scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets track whether Ukraine wins, Albania wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation resolution (No for win markets, Yes for draw market), while Kalshi does not address cancellation, creating settlement ambiguity if the match is canceled with no make-up game.Hero tip: Traders should clarify cancellation handling with Kalshi support. If both platforms treat cancellation as market void, the divergence is eliminated. If Kalshi leaves canceled matches unresolved, this creates a settlement timing and payout mismatch.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Ukraine win Yes/No, Albania win Yes/No, draw Yes/No). Resolves to official FIFA statistics within 2 hours post-match. Explicit cancellation clause: Ukraine/Albania win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Albania wins, Ukraine wins, Tie) all resolve Yes if that outcome occurs. References professional Intl Friendlies soccer game, 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Ambiguity: unclear whether canceled match remains open or resolves.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.