TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers (W)
Volume:
$79,054
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between UIC Flames and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and non-functional: both possible game outcomes (UIC win or Murray State win) resolve to Yes, making the market incapable of differentiating outcomes. Polymarket correctly implements a categorical resolution tied to team identity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as stated—it cannot resolve to No under any game outcome, rendering it unresolvable as a prediction market. Polymarket's structure is sound: trade there for accurate price discovery on the UIC vs. Murray State matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure that resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Both UIC victory and Murray State victory trigger Yes resolution. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: UIC Flames win resolves to 'UIC Flames', Murray State Racers win resolves to 'Murray State Racers'. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.