TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$705,992
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC Fight Night preliminary middleweight bout between Wes Schultz and Damian Pinas, scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span winner determination, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), round duration thresholds, and fight distance completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi winner markets omit explicit edge-case and postponement logic, while Polymarket defines comprehensive fallback rules including 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements beyond March 14, 2026. Method-of-victory and round-duration markets on Polymarket are unified and explicit; Kalshi has no corresponding markets in this group.Hero Tip:
Kalshi traders face ambiguity on draws and postponements—treat Kalshi winner markets as UFC-official-declaration-only with no stated fallback. Polymarket traders have explicit protection: any edge case (draw, no contest, postponement after March 14) resolves 50-50. For maximum clarity, prioritize Polymarket's method-of-victory and round markets, which have identical edge-case logic. If you trade Kalshi, hedge with Polymarket's 50-50 fallback logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Two binary markets: (1) Wesley Schultz wins → Yes; (2) Damian Pinas wins → Yes. No explicit handling of draws, technical decisions, no contests, cancellations, or postponement cutoffs. Resolution source stated as 'professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026' but lacks UFC-official-source citation and edge-case fallback.
- Polymarket: Winner market: Schultz or Pinas with explicit 50-50 fallback for draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond March 14, 2026. Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, distance) all include identical 50-50 fallback logic. Round-duration markets (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5) resolve 50-50 if fight is not scored, postponed beyond March 14, or canceled. All cite official UFC information as resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.