TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,888,286
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC heavyweight preliminary fight between Vitor Petrino and Steven Asplund scheduled for March 14, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), fight duration (over/under various round thresholds), and whether the fight goes the distance.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines explicit 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, and cancellations, while Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure does not address these outcomes, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Cross-check Kalshi's official rules on draw and no-contest handling before placing large positions. Polymarket's 50-50 protocol is explicit; Kalshi's is not. This is a scope/clarity divergence, not a logical contradiction, but it warrants clarification from Kalshi before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner market (Petrino vs. Asplund) resolves to the officially declared victor or 50-50 on draw, no contest, technical draw, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026. All method-of-victory and duration markets also default to 50-50 on these outcomes. Source: Official UFC information.
- Kalshi: Binary market resolves Yes if either Asplund or Petrino wins. No explicit language on draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements. Implicitly assumes one fighter will be declared the winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.