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406,422

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UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,888,286

Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,097,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Steven Asplund

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$440,310
N/A
N/A
$356,370
Settled
No
kalshi

Vitor Petrino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$345,860
N/A
N/A
$267,615
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Petrino to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Asplund to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC heavyweight preliminary fight between Vitor Petrino and Steven Asplund scheduled for March 14, 2026, at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), fight duration (over/under various round thresholds), and whether the fight goes the distance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines explicit 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, and cancellations, while Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure does not address these outcomes, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Cross-check Kalshi's official rules on draw and no-contest handling before placing large positions. Polymarket's 50-50 protocol is explicit; Kalshi's is not. This is a scope/clarity divergence, not a logical contradiction, but it warrants clarification from Kalshi before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner market (Petrino vs. Asplund) resolves to the officially declared victor or 50-50 on draw, no contest, technical draw, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026. All method-of-victory and duration markets also default to 50-50 on these outcomes. Source: Official UFC information.
  • Kalshi: Binary market resolves Yes if either Asplund or Petrino wins. No explicit language on draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements. Implicitly assumes one fighter will be declared the winner.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.