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UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,765,274

Virna Jandiroba

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virna Jandiroba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$725,924
N/A
N/A
$556,705
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jandiroba to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$481,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tabatha Ricci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$548,514
N/A
N/A
$460,186
Settled
No
polymarket

Ricci to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Virna Jandiroba and Tabatha Ricci will compete in a women's strawweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026. Markets cover fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), duration thresholds (rounds), and distance completion. All resolution depends on official UFC declaration of the fight result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive, outcome-specific resolution rules for six distinct markets (KO/TKO, Submission, Round Thresholds, Distance, and Head-to-Head), while Kalshi offers only two binary YES/NO markets that resolve identically regardless of fight outcome (either fighter winning triggers YES). This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's markets cannot distinguish between different resolution scenarios that Polymarket explicitly addresses.Hero tip: Do not cross-trade between these platforms. Polymarket markets are outcome-specific and mutually exclusive (e.g., only one of 'Jandiroba KO/TKO' or 'Ricci KO/TKO' can resolve YES). Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES if either fighter wins, making them redundant and unsuitable for directional betting. If you hold Kalshi positions, understand that they provide no granularity on fight method or duration—only confirmation that the fight occurred and produced a winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six mutually exclusive, outcome-specific markets covering fight method (KO/TKO, Submission), duration (Over/Under 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 Rounds), distance completion, and head-to-head winner selection. Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to specific fight outcomes. For example, 'Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?' resolves YES only if the fight ends by KO/TKO/stoppage, and NO if it ends by submission, decision, or draw. 'O/U 2.5 Rounds' resolves Over if the fight continues past 2:30 of Round 3, Under if it ends before that threshold. All markets reference 'official information from the UFC' as the resolution source.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides two binary markets that both resolve YES if either fighter wins the bout. Market 1 states 'If Tabatha Ricci wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Virna Jandiroba wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Neither market specifies what happens if the fight ends in a draw, no-contest, or cancellation. Both markets collapse all possible fight outcomes (KO, submission, decision, draw) into a single YES/NO binary, with no differentiation by method or duration.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.