TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,632,459
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Tresean Gore and Azamat Bekoev are scheduled to compete in a middleweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026. The event group encompasses markets covering fight outcome, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration thresholds, and distance completion. All markets reference official UFC resolution authority.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed resolution rules covering winner determination, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), round duration thresholds, and multiple edge cases with 50-50 resolution for cancellations/postponements. Kalshi provides only two binary markets with no resolution logic, no edge case handling, no source specification, and no clarity on how draws, no-contests, or postponements are resolved.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you face critical ambiguity: the markets do not specify what happens if the fight is canceled, postponed, ends in a draw, or is ruled a no-contest. Polymarket explicitly resolves these scenarios to 50-50. Kalshi's silence on these outcomes creates unresolvable settlement risk. Strongly prefer Polymarket for this event group, or demand Kalshi clarification before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (comprehensive): Polymarket provides 9 distinct markets with granular resolution rules covering winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), round duration thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), and explicit 50-50 resolution for draws, technical draws, no-contests, cancellations, and postponements beyond April 18, 2026. Source is official UFC information. Example: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (minimal): Kalshi provides only 2 binary markets (Bekoev wins, Gore wins) with no resolution logic, no edge case handling, no source specification, and no clarity on draws, no-contests, or postponements. The markets state only 'If [fighter] wins the Bekoev vs Gore professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' with no definition of what constitutes a win or how non-decisive outcomes are handled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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