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402,751

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UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$884,019

Jackson McVey

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jackson McVey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$191,536
N/A
N/A
$146,651
Settled
Yes
polymarket

McVey to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$455,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sedriques Dumas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226,514
N/A
N/A
$215,570
Settled
No
polymarket

Dumas to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Sedriques Dumas" if Sedriques Dumas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken and resolves YES for all possible fight outcomes (either fighter winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket markets have coherent, mutually exclusive resolution criteria tied to specific fight outcomes and conditions.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of who wins, making it impossible to lose. All trading value is destroyed. Stick to Polymarket markets, which have proper binary and conditional logic with clear resolution paths.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All markets use coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic. Winner market resolves to either Dumas or McVey (or 50-50 for draw/cancellation). Method markets (KO/TKO, Submission) resolve YES only if that specific method occurs. Round markets resolve Over/Under based on fight duration. Distance market resolves YES only if fight goes full rounds and is decided by judges. Each outcome is clearly defined and markets cannot both resolve YES.
  • Kalshi: Market states: 'If Jackson McVey wins the McVey vs Dumas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sedriques Dumas wins the McVey vs Dumas professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for both possible fight outcomes, leaving no resolution path for NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.