TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$12,488,774
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Fight Night matchup between Sean Strickland and Anthony Hernandez scheduled for February 21, 2026, at middleweight on the main card. Markets span winner determination, fight duration (multiple round thresholds), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), and distance completion across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary win-only resolution framework with no explicit contingency language for draws, technical decisions, cancellations, or postponements, while Polymarket provides comprehensive outcome taxonomy with explicit 50-50 resolution for all non-decisive scenarios.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are fully resolvable under all UFC outcomes (win, draw, no contest, cancellation, postponement). Kalshi's binary structure leaves draws and cancellations unaddressed. If you trade Kalshi, assume it will only resolve Yes if one fighter is officially declared the winner; request clarification on contingencies from Kalshi support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive outcome taxonomy. Winner markets resolve to fighter name if declared winner, or 50-50 if draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026. Method markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) similarly resolve 50-50 on non-decisive outcomes. Source: Official UFC information.
- Kalshi: Binary win-only logic. Resolves Yes if either Strickland or Hernandez wins the fight originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. No explicit language addressing draws, technical decisions, cancellations, postponements, or no contests. Silent contingency handling creates settlement risk.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.