TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,944,852

Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson

 - Polymarket

Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,091,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Page

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$580,759
N/A
N/A
$521,504
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Patterson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253,181
N/A
N/A
$232,228
Settled
No
polymarket

Page to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Patterson to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Michael Page" if Michael Page is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Sam Patterson" if Sam Patterson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on whether either fighter wins the bout (binary outcome), while Polymarket offers multiple specific markets on fight method, duration, and distance. The platforms operate on fundamentally different market structures: Kalshi has a single winner-determination market, whereas Polymarket provides granular outcome-specific markets (submission, KO/TKO, round thresholds, distance).Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting simply on Page or Patterson winning. On Polymarket, you can bet on specific fight mechanics (submission, KO/TKO, round duration). These are not contradictory, but Kalshi's binary structure means it resolves YES for either fighter, while Polymarket markets each resolve independently based on how the fight ends. Ensure you understand which outcome you are actually trading on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi operates a binary winner-determination market with no method or duration specificity. The market resolves YES if either Michael Page or Sam Patterson wins the bout scheduled for March 21, 2026. Quote: 'If Michael Page wins the Page vs Patterson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Patterson wins the Page vs Patterson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides multiple granular markets tied to specific fight outcomes and mechanics: submission resolution, KO/TKO by either fighter, round duration thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), distance completion, and a main winner market. Each market resolves independently based on the specific condition (e.g., 'Over 1.5 Rounds' resolves YES if the fight continues past 2:30 of Round 2). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the fight between Michael Page and Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.