TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$998,051

Tommy McMillen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tommy McMillen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$195,256
N/A
N/A
$158,190
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

McMillen to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Manolo Zecchini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$602,458
N/A
N/A
$547,686
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zecchini to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Manolo Zecchini" if Manolo Zecchini is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tommy McMillen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with detailed resolution criteria across 8 distinct markets (winner, distance, rounds, method of victory), while Kalshi provides only 2 incomplete market definitions that lack specificity on resolution conditions, thresholds, and edge cases. Kalshi's markets are fundamentally underspecified and unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi markets for this event group. Kalshi's market definitions are incomplete and do not specify how to resolve draws, no contests, disqualifications, or postponements. Polymarket markets are fully specified with clear resolution logic, official UFC sources, and comprehensive edge-case handling. Trade only on Polymarket if you require certainty of settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket defines 8 distinct markets with exhaustive resolution logic including winner determination, distance (yes/no), round thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), and comprehensive edge cases (no contest, technical draw, postponement beyond April 18, 2026 all resolve 50-50). Each market specifies official UFC as the sole resolution source and includes boundary conditions (e.g., 'if fight ends exactly at threshold, resolve 50-50'). Example: 'Fight to Go the Distance' resolves YES only if fight completes all scheduled rounds and result is by judges' scorecards; technical decisions or technical draws before completion resolve NO.
  • Kalshi: Outlier (incomplete specification): Kalshi provides only 2 market definitions with minimal detail. Market 1 states 'If Manolo Zecchini wins...then resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Tommy McMillen wins...then resolves to Yes' with no specification of what 'wins' means, no handling of draws, no contest, disqualification, postponement, or other edge cases. No resolution source is cited. No thresholds, timing conditions, or boundary rules are defined. Markets are logically incomplete and cannot be reliably settled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.