TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$620,187
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Louie Sutherland and Brando Pericic are scheduled to compete in a heavyweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy on March 21, 2026. Markets cover fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO, decision), and fight duration (round thresholds). All resolution sources reference official UFC information.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with detailed resolution rules for seven distinct outcomes (submission, KO/TKO, rounds, distance, moneyline), while Kalshi provides only a single binary market that conflates both fighters' wins into a single YES resolution, creating a fundamental structural incompatibility and making Kalshi's market logically unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent settlement. Polymarket offers granular outcome markets with clear winner/method specifications; Kalshi's market appears to resolve YES if either fighter wins, which violates basic binary logic. Clarify Kalshi's actual intent (likely a data entry error) before placing trades, as the current definition cannot distinguish between a Sutherland win and a Pericic win.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers seven separate markets covering moneyline (Sutherland vs. Pericic winner), method (submission, KO/TKO, distance), and duration (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), each with explicit resolution rules tied to official UFC sources. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Louie Sutherland if Louie Sutherland is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to Brando Pericic if Brando Pericic is officially declared the winner.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides a single binary market that states 'If Louie Sutherland wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Brando Pericic wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and incompatible with Polymarket's differentiated winner markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.