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$134.2b

24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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61%

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UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$2,593,077

Charles Jourdain

 - Kalshi

Charles Jourdain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 19, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Charles Jourdain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,309,767
N/A
N/A
$950,035
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyler Phillips

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$750,266
N/A
N/A
$543,212
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$528,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jourdain to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Phillips to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the UFC Fight Night bantamweight bout between Kyler Phillips and Charles Jourdain, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott. Markets span fight duration (round thresholds), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), and outright winner determination. All resolution hinges on official UFC scoring and bout outcome classification.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken and unresolvable. The market states it resolves YES if EITHER fighter wins, which means it resolves YES for all possible outcomes (100% certainty), violating basic binary market logic. Polymarket markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes and clear resolution criteria.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is logically incoherent and will almost certainly resolve to a platform error or 50-50 split. All trading activity on Kalshi for this event should be avoided. Polymarket markets are tradeable and follow standard MMA resolution conventions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Seven distinct, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution criteria: (1) Winner (Phillips vs Jourdain, with 50-50 for draw/NC/postponement), (2) Distance (Yes if full rounds completed, 50-50 for NC/postponement), (3) KO/TKO (Yes if either fighter wins by KO/TKO), (4) Phillips KO/TKO (Yes if Phillips wins by KO/TKO), (5) Jourdain KO/TKO (Yes if Jourdain wins by KO/TKO), (6-8) Round Over/Under thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds with 50-50 at exact threshold or if not scored). All reference official UFC sources. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Kyler Phillips" if Kyler Phillips is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to "Charles Jourdain" if Charles Jourdain is officially declared the winner.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with logically contradictory resolution criteria. States: 'If Charles Jourdain wins the Jourdain vs Phillips professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyler Phillips wins the Jourdain vs Phillips professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which fighter wins, making it impossible to resolve to NO under any normal fight outcome. Quote: Both outcomes explicitly resolve to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.