TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
Volume:
$1,979,140
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets on the UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber lightweight main card bout scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span fighter victory outcomes, fight duration thresholds, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission), and whether the fight goes the distance. Resolution depends entirely on official UFC fight results and scoring.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official UFC outcome determines winner, method, and duration; edge cases (draw, technical decision, no contest, cancellation, postponement beyond March 14, 2026) resolve uniformly to 50-50 or No; exact threshold times resolve 50-50.
Primary resolution logic:
Official UFC fight results and scoring from ufc.comCore resolution logic:
- Fighter victory: Resolves to the fighter officially declared winner by UFC; draw or technical draw resolves 50-50
- Method of victory (KO/TKO): Resolves Yes if fight ends by knockout, technical knockout, referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage; otherwise No
- Method of victory (submission): Resolves Yes if fight ends by tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to submission hold); otherwise No
- Fight goes the distance: Resolves Yes only if fight completes all scheduled rounds and result is determined by judges' scorecards (includes judge-decided draws); technical decisions or technical draws before all rounds complete resolve No
- Round duration thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 Rounds): Over resolves Yes if fight continues past the 2:30 mark of the specified round; Under resolves Yes if fight ends before 2:30 of that round; exact 2:30 mark resolves 50-50
- No Contest, not scored, or canceled outcomes: All related markets resolve 50-50
- Postponement beyond March 14, 2026: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Exact threshold timing: If fight ends exactly at 2:30 of the specified round (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for 2.5 line), that market resolves 50-50
- Draw or technical draw: Resolves to 50-50 for winner market; resolves No for method-specific markets (KO/TKO, submission); resolves Yes for fight goes the distance if judges' scorecards determine the draw after all rounds
- Disqualification: Resolves No for method-specific markets (KO/TKO, submission); winner is determined by official UFC declaration
- No Contest or not scored: All markets resolve 50-50
- Postponement beyond March 14, 2026: All markets resolve 50-50; postponements on or before March 14, 2026 do not trigger 50-50 resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs on or shortly after the official UFC fight result is published on ufc.com, typically within 24 hours of fight completion. Deadline for resolution is March 14, 2026; any postponement beyond this date triggers 50-50 across all markets.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.