TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$658,264
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets for the UFC Fight Night preliminary middleweight bout between Jose Daniel Medina and Ryan Gandra, scheduled for February 28, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), distance (round thresholds), and fight completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets omit explicit contingency rules (draws, no contests, cancellations, postponements) and do not cite a resolution source, while Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case handling and specifies official UFC as the authoritative source.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are more robust for traders concerned about tail risks. Kalshi's silence on draws and cancellations creates ambiguity. If you trade Kalshi, contact support to confirm how non-decisive outcomes (draw, technical draw, no contest) and postponements beyond the scheduled date are resolved. Polymarket's 50-50 rule for these scenarios is explicit and trader-friendly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary winner markets (Medina wins / Gandra wins) with no explicit contingency language. No mention of draws, technical decisions, no contests, cancellations, or postponements. No resolution source cited. Ambiguity on how non-binary outcomes resolve.
- Polymarket: Comprehensive contingency framework across all markets. Draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements beyond March 14, 2026 all resolve 50-50. Official UFC sources cited as authoritative. Method-of-victory markets (KO/TKO, submission) and distance markets (O/U rounds) all include explicit 50-50 clauses for edge cases.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.