TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$762,104

Leavitt vs. del Valle

 - Polymarket

Leavitt vs. del Valle - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Leavitt vs. del Valle

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$279,057
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Jordan Leavitt

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$238,309
0%
0%
$161,480
N/A
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,853
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,408
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Yadier Delvalle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$236,112
0%
0%
$172,604
N/A
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,273
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

del Valle to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$548
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Leavitt to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers multiple prediction markets on the UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez card scheduled for February 21, 2026, specifically the featherweight preliminary bout between Jordan Leavitt and Yadier del Valle. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO, distance), and round duration thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market uses ambiguous dual-Yes logic, while Polymarket uses clear winner-specific outcomes. Method-of-victory and round duration markets are unified across platforms with consistent edge-case handling.Hero tip: Rely on Polymarket's explicit winner resolution (Leavitt vs. del Valle) and shared edge-case rules (50-50 for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond March 7, 2026). Request clarification from Kalshi on whether their winner market should resolve to a specific fighter name or if the dual-Yes specification is intentional.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Winner market states: 'If Yadier Delvalle wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Leavitt wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical ambiguity in a binary market structure. No explicit edge-case handling provided for draws, no contests, or cancellations.
  • Polymarket: Winner market resolves to 'Leavitt' if Jordan Leavitt wins or 'del Valle' if Yadier del Valle wins. Explicitly resolves to '50-50' if fight ends in draw, technical draw, no contest, is not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026. Official UFC information is the resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.