TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$762,104
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets on the UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez card scheduled for February 21, 2026, specifically the featherweight preliminary bout between Jordan Leavitt and Yadier del Valle. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO, distance), and round duration thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's winner market uses ambiguous dual-Yes logic, while Polymarket uses clear winner-specific outcomes. Method-of-victory and round duration markets are unified across platforms with consistent edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Rely on Polymarket's explicit winner resolution (Leavitt vs. del Valle) and shared edge-case rules (50-50 for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond March 7, 2026). Request clarification from Kalshi on whether their winner market should resolve to a specific fighter name or if the dual-Yes specification is intentional.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Winner market states: 'If Yadier Delvalle wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Leavitt wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical ambiguity in a binary market structure. No explicit edge-case handling provided for draws, no contests, or cancellations.
- Polymarket: Winner market resolves to 'Leavitt' if Jordan Leavitt wins or 'del Valle' if Yadier del Valle wins. Explicitly resolves to '50-50' if fight ends in draw, technical draw, no contest, is not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026. Official UFC information is the resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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