TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,124,602
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
JJ Aldrich and Jamey-Lyn Horth are scheduled to compete in a women's flyweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott on April 18, 2026. This event group encompasses markets covering fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration (rounds), and distance completion. All markets are contingent on the bout being officially scored and completed by May 2, 2026.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken and contradictory. It resolves YES if EITHER fighter wins, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve NO, which violates basic binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical impossibility: both 'Jamey-Lyn Horth wins' and 'JJ Aldrich wins' resolve to YES, meaning the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be used instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Polymarket provides 6 distinct, logically coherent markets: (1) Winner (Aldrich vs Horth, resolves to one fighter or 50-50 on draw/NC/postponement); (2) KO/TKO finish (Yes/No); (3) Submission finish (Yes/No); (4-6) Round duration thresholds (Over/Under at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds); (7) Distance (Yes if full rounds completed with judges' decision); (8-9) Fighter-specific KO/TKO wins. All use consistent source (official UFC) and clear resolution criteria. Quote: 'This market will resolve to JJ Aldrich if JJ Aldrich is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to Jamey-Lyn Horth if Jamey-Lyn Horth is officially declared the winner.'
- Kalshi: Kalshi presents a single market with contradictory resolution logic. The market states: 'If Jamey-Lyn Horth wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If JJ Aldrich wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both possible fight outcomes (Aldrich win or Horth win) resolve to YES, leaving no outcome path to resolve NO. Quote: 'If Jamey-Lyn Horth wins the Aldrich vs Horth professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jj Aldrich wins the Aldrich vs Horth professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.