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UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,071,716

Melissa Croden

 - Kalshi

Melissa Croden - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 19, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 1:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melissa Croden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$275,080
N/A
N/A
$213,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$416,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Darya Zheleznyakova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$376,960
N/A
N/A
$337,829
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhelezniakova to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Croden to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a women's bantamweight preliminary bout between Daria Zhelezniakova and Melissa Croden scheduled for UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott on April 18, 2026. Markets assess fight outcome (winner), method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), duration thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), and whether the fight reaches full distance. All resolution depends on official UFC scoring and fight result documentation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on the official UFC result, with consistent handling of draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements beyond May 2, 2026 all resolving to 50-50 or No as applicable.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcement and fight result records from ufc.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner market resolves to the fighter officially declared the winner by the UFC; if draw, technical draw, no contest, or not scored, it resolves 50-50.
  • Round over/under markets resolve Over if the fight continues past the specified round threshold (e.g., past 2:30 of Round 2 for O/U 1.5), Under if it ends before that mark, and 50-50 if it ends exactly at the threshold.
  • Distance market resolves Yes if the fight goes the full scheduled rounds and is decided by judges' scorecards (including judge-decided draws); resolves No for all stoppages, technical decisions, or technical draws before completion.
  • KO/TKO markets resolve Yes only if the fight ends by knockout, technical knockout, referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage; resolve No for submissions, decisions, or draws.
  • Submission market resolves Yes only if the fight ends by tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission; resolves No for all other outcomes.
  • All markets resolve 50-50 if the bout is ruled no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Round Threshold: If a fight ends exactly at the threshold time (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for O/U 1.5), the market resolves 50-50 rather than Over or Under.
  • Technical Decision vs. Judge Decision: Distance market resolves Yes only if all scheduled rounds are completed and decided by judges; technical decisions or technical draws before completion resolve No.
  • Postponement Cutoff: If the fight is postponed beyond May 2, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50; postponements on or before that date do not trigger this clause.
  • Disqualification: Disqualification of either fighter results in No for KO/TKO and submission markets, and does not resolve the winner market as a standard victory.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official UFC announcement of the fight result, typically within hours of the bout conclusion. Postponements or cancellations must be confirmed by the UFC before the May 2, 2026 deadline to trigger 50-50 resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.