TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$890,441

Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell

 - Polymarket

Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$472,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Danny Silva

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$230,206
N/A
N/A
$210,833
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Silva to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kurtis Campbell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178,802
N/A
N/A
$170,916
Settled
No
polymarket

Campbell to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Danny Silva" if Danny Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kurtis Campbell at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Kurtis Campbell" if Kurtis Campbell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with detailed resolution criteria across 9 distinct markets (O/U rounds, method of victory, fight winner, distance), while Kalshi provides only 2 vague binary outcomes without specifying which fighter or resolution method. Kalshi's markets are logically incomplete and cannot be independently resolved.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi for this event group. Kalshi's markets lack specificity on fighter identity and resolution method, creating ambiguity on what constitutes a YES resolution. Polymarket's markets are fully defined with clear thresholds, timing rules, and edge cases. If you must trade Kalshi, treat it as a generic 'fight occurs' market only, not a specific fighter or method bet.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Provides 9 distinct, fully-specified markets covering fight duration (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds), method of victory (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, distance), and outright winner. Each market includes explicit resolution criteria, tie-breaking rules (50-50 at exact thresholds), and cancellation/postponement clauses. Key quote: 'If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Provides only 2 binary markets with minimal definition. Market 1 states 'If Danny Silva wins the Campbell vs Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If Kurtis Campbell wins the Campbell vs Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No specification of resolution method (KO/TKO, submission, decision), no handling of draws, no tie-breaking rules, and no cancellation/postponement protocol. Key quote: 'If Kurtis Campbell wins the Campbell vs Silva professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.