TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Description
This market will resolve to "Brendson Ribeiro" if Brendson Ribeiro is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev" if Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on a binary winner outcome (either fighter wins), while Polymarket offers multiple mutually exclusive markets on fight method (KO/TKO, submission, distance) and a separate winner market. Critically, Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES for any decisive outcome, creating a logical contradiction where both markets cannot coexist as presented.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets as written — they contain a fatal logical flaw where both markets resolve YES simultaneously for any fight result. Polymarket markets are internally consistent and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents two separate markets that both resolve YES for any decisive outcome (Ribeiro wins OR Yakhyaev wins), creating an unresolvable logical contradiction. The platform does not offer method-specific or distance markets. Key quote: 'If Brendson Ribeiro wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with internal consistency: Polymarket offers mutually exclusive markets covering all possible outcomes — winner (Ribeiro vs. Yakhyaev), method (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, distance), and round thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds). Each market resolves to exactly one outcome per fight result. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the fight...ends by submission...Otherwise, it will resolve to No.'
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