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UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,434,579

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

 - Kalshi

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224,157
N/A
N/A
$196,661
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brendson Ribeiro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$928,807
N/A
N/A
$840,558
Settled
No
polymarket

Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$269,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yakhyaev to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ribeiro to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Brendson Ribeiro" if Brendson Ribeiro is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev" if Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on a binary winner outcome (either fighter wins), while Polymarket offers multiple mutually exclusive markets on fight method (KO/TKO, submission, distance) and a separate winner market. Critically, Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES for any decisive outcome, creating a logical contradiction where both markets cannot coexist as presented.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets as written — they contain a fatal logical flaw where both markets resolve YES simultaneously for any fight result. Polymarket markets are internally consistent and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from the platform before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents two separate markets that both resolve YES for any decisive outcome (Ribeiro wins OR Yakhyaev wins), creating an unresolvable logical contradiction. The platform does not offer method-specific or distance markets. Key quote: 'If Brendson Ribeiro wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with internal consistency: Polymarket offers mutually exclusive markets covering all possible outcomes — winner (Ribeiro vs. Yakhyaev), method (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, distance), and round thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds). Each market resolves to exactly one outcome per fight result. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the fight...ends by submission...Otherwise, it will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.