TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,370,872
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Fight Night middleweight preliminary bout between Brad Tavares and Eryk Anders scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO), duration thresholds (rounds), and distance completion across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition lacks explicit edge-case handling for draws, no-contests, disqualifications, and postponements, while Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution logic. This creates potential ambiguity in non-decisive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket markets for precise resolution certainty. On Kalshi, assume non-decisive outcomes (draw, no-contest, postponement beyond March 28, 2026) resolve to No unless the platform explicitly confirms 50-50 treatment. Verify with Kalshi support before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive 9-market suite with explicit edge-case resolution. All markets (submission, KO/TKO, round thresholds, distance, winner) specify that draws, disqualifications, no-contests, and postponements beyond March 28, 2026 resolve to 50-50. Exact-threshold ties (e.g., finish at 2:30 of Round 3 for 2.5 line) also resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single binary winner market with incomplete logic. States 'If Brad Tavares wins... then Yes' and 'If Eryk Anders wins... then Yes' but provides no guidance on draws, no-contests, disqualifications, or postponements. Ambiguity: unclear whether non-decisive outcomes resolve to No, 50-50, or remain unresolved. Key Quote: 'If Brad Tavares wins the Tavares vs Anders professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.