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400,720

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UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,370,872

Eryk Anders

 - Kalshi

Eryk Anders - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eryk Anders

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$178,084
N/A
N/A
$166,623
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$898,324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Tavares

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287,183
N/A
N/A
$265,393
Settled
No
polymarket

Anders to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tavares to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC Fight Night middleweight preliminary bout between Brad Tavares and Eryk Anders scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span fight outcome (winner), method of victory (submission, KO/TKO), duration thresholds (rounds), and distance completion across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market definition lacks explicit edge-case handling for draws, no-contests, disqualifications, and postponements, while Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution logic. This creates potential ambiguity in non-decisive outcomes.Hero tip: Use Polymarket markets for precise resolution certainty. On Kalshi, assume non-decisive outcomes (draw, no-contest, postponement beyond March 28, 2026) resolve to No unless the platform explicitly confirms 50-50 treatment. Verify with Kalshi support before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Comprehensive 9-market suite with explicit edge-case resolution. All markets (submission, KO/TKO, round thresholds, distance, winner) specify that draws, disqualifications, no-contests, and postponements beyond March 28, 2026 resolve to 50-50. Exact-threshold ties (e.g., finish at 2:30 of Round 3 for 2.5 line) also resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary winner market with incomplete logic. States 'If Brad Tavares wins... then Yes' and 'If Eryk Anders wins... then Yes' but provides no guidance on draws, no-contests, disqualifications, or postponements. Ambiguity: unclear whether non-decisive outcomes resolve to No, 50-50, or remain unresolved. Key Quote: 'If Brad Tavares wins the Tavares vs Anders professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.