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$134.2b

24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$1,902,531

Jose Delgado

 - Kalshi

Jose Delgado - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 15, 1:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jose Delgado

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$552,510
N/A
N/A
$388,733
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andre Fili

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$799,659
N/A
N/A
$547,868
Settled
No
polymarket

Delgado to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$542,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fili to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC Fight Night featherweight preliminary bout between Andre Fili and Jose Miguel Delgado scheduled for March 14, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. Markets span multiple resolution dimensions: moneyline winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration thresholds, and distance completion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Moneyline scope divergence: Polymarket uses a single 3-way outcome (Fili / Delgado / 50-50), while Kalshi uses two independent binary markets with no explicit edge-case resolution. Method-of-victory and duration markets are unified across platforms.Hero tip: For Polymarket moneyline, draws and no-contests resolve 50-50 by design. For Kalshi, confirm with the platform whether draw/no-contest scenarios resolve both markets to No, or if there is a separate 50-50 outcome. Method-of-victory (KO/TKO, submission, distance) and round-duration markets are consistent: all resolve 50-50 if the bout is canceled, postponed beyond March 28, 2026, or ruled no-contest.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline is a single categorical market: resolves to Andre Fili, Jose Miguel Delgado, or 50-50 (for draw, technical draw, no-contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026). All method-of-victory (KO/TKO, submission) and distance markets include explicit 50-50 fallback for edge cases.
  • Kalshi: Moneyline uses two separate binary markets: one resolves Yes if Andre Fili wins, the other resolves Yes if Jose Delgado wins. No explicit resolution language for draws, no-contests, or cancellations; logical inference suggests both would resolve No in such scenarios, creating a potential gap.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.