TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)
Volume:
$1,902,531
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Fight Night featherweight preliminary bout between Andre Fili and Jose Miguel Delgado scheduled for March 14, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. Markets span multiple resolution dimensions: moneyline winner, method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), fight duration thresholds, and distance completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Moneyline scope divergence: Polymarket uses a single 3-way outcome (Fili / Delgado / 50-50), while Kalshi uses two independent binary markets with no explicit edge-case resolution. Method-of-victory and duration markets are unified across platforms.Hero Tip:
For Polymarket moneyline, draws and no-contests resolve 50-50 by design. For Kalshi, confirm with the platform whether draw/no-contest scenarios resolve both markets to No, or if there is a separate 50-50 outcome. Method-of-victory (KO/TKO, submission, distance) and round-duration markets are consistent: all resolve 50-50 if the bout is canceled, postponed beyond March 28, 2026, or ruled no-contest.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline is a single categorical market: resolves to Andre Fili, Jose Miguel Delgado, or 50-50 (for draw, technical draw, no-contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026). All method-of-victory (KO/TKO, submission) and distance markets include explicit 50-50 fallback for edge cases.
- Kalshi: Moneyline uses two separate binary markets: one resolves Yes if Andre Fili wins, the other resolves Yes if Jose Delgado wins. No explicit resolution language for draws, no-contests, or cancellations; logical inference suggests both would resolve No in such scenarios, creating a potential gap.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.