TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)
Description
This market will resolve to "Aljamain Sterling" if Aljamain Sterling is officially declared the winner of the fight against Youssef Zalal at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Youssef Zalal" if Youssef Zalal is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES if EITHER fighter wins (logical contradiction), while Polymarket markets resolve to specific fighters or draw outcomes. Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally unresolvable as written because both YES and NO outcomes cannot coexist for a single fight result.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market as written—it contains a logical flaw that makes it unresolvable. On Polymarket, your bets are precise: bet Sterling to win, Zalal to win, or on fight mechanics (KO/TKO, submission, distance). Kalshi's market appears to be a placeholder or error and should not be relied upon for settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers granular, mutually exclusive markets: (1) Winner selection (Sterling vs. Zalal vs. 50-50 draw/NC), (2) Fight mechanics (KO/TKO, submission, distance), (3) Round duration thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 rounds). Each market has clear, non-overlapping resolution criteria. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Aljamain Sterling if Aljamain Sterling is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to Youssef Zalal if Youssef Zalal is officially declared the winner... If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest... this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory logic: 'If Youssef Zalal wins the Sterling vs Zalal professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aljamain Sterling wins the Sterling vs Zalal professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which fighter wins, making NO outcome impossible and rendering the market logically incoherent.
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