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UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$4,794,132

Aljamain Sterling

 - Kalshi

Aljamain Sterling - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 26, 2:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aljamain Sterling

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,292,329
N/A
N/A
$1,622,737
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$747,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Youssef Zalal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,736,039
N/A
N/A
$1,270,282
Settled
No
polymarket

Zalal to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sterling to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Aljamain Sterling" if Aljamain Sterling is officially declared the winner of the fight against Youssef Zalal at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Youssef Zalal" if Youssef Zalal is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES if EITHER fighter wins (logical contradiction), while Polymarket markets resolve to specific fighters or draw outcomes. Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally unresolvable as written because both YES and NO outcomes cannot coexist for a single fight result.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market as written—it contains a logical flaw that makes it unresolvable. On Polymarket, your bets are precise: bet Sterling to win, Zalal to win, or on fight mechanics (KO/TKO, submission, distance). Kalshi's market appears to be a placeholder or error and should not be relied upon for settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers granular, mutually exclusive markets: (1) Winner selection (Sterling vs. Zalal vs. 50-50 draw/NC), (2) Fight mechanics (KO/TKO, submission, distance), (3) Round duration thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 rounds). Each market has clear, non-overlapping resolution criteria. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Aljamain Sterling if Aljamain Sterling is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to Youssef Zalal if Youssef Zalal is officially declared the winner... If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest... this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Single market with contradictory logic: 'If Youssef Zalal wins the Sterling vs Zalal professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aljamain Sterling wins the Sterling vs Zalal professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which fighter wins, making NO outcome impossible and rendering the market logically incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.