TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)
Description
This market will resolve to "Tatiana Suarez" if Tatiana Suarez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Loopy Godínez at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Loopy Godínez" if Loopy Godínez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi focuses on fight duration thresholds (ends before round 2 or round 3), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets covering winner determination, method of victory (KO/TKO vs submission), round duration thresholds, and distance completion. The platforms resolve on the same underlying event but segment the resolution criteria differently.Hero Tip:
Kalshi bettors are wagering purely on fight length (early finish vs later finish), whereas Polymarket bettors can isolate specific outcomes like method of victory or distance. If you expect a quick finish, Kalshi's 'ends before round 2' aligns with Polymarket's 'Under 1.5 Rounds' and 'Will the fight be won by KO or TKO', but Polymarket offers granular control over which specific outcome you're betting. Cross-platform arbitrage is possible if odds diverge on correlated outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only two binary markets, both focused on fight duration thresholds. Market 1 resolves YES if the fight 'ends before round 2' and Market 2 resolves YES if it 'ends before round 3'. Both use official UFC information as the source and apply no special edge-case handling beyond the duration logic itself.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers eight separate markets covering winner determination, method of victory (KO/TKO by either fighter, submission, or distance), and round duration thresholds (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 rounds). All markets share a common source (official UFC information) and common edge-case handling (No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond April 25, 2026 resolve 50-50), but each market isolates a different outcome dimension.
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